Are tracked sports sharps profitable?

How each figure is defined.

Who is counted

We follow the accounts that post sports picks on X, and count only accounts we follow now. A sharp is counted in a window if at least one of their picks in it was graded. Sharps with no graded pick in a window are left out of that window’s figures.

Graded pick

A pick counts as graded once it is matched to a real game and was posted before that game started. It adds to units when it settles against official results, and adds zero until then. A void is not a pick.

Net units

The sum of what each settled graded pick won or lost, in the stake the sharp stated. Units are each sharp’s own, so one sharp’s unit is not another’s dollar amount. A push adds zero.

Up, flat and down

Up means the sharp’s graded picks in the window add to more than zero units. Exactly zero is flat, and below zero is down. The share up is up divided by every graded sharp in the window, the same count the leaderboard uses.

Windows

The last 7, 30 and 90 days are trailing spans of 24-hour days, ending when the figures were last computed. Since tracking began covers every graded pick we hold.

Sample size

One graded pick is enough to be counted, which matches the home page.

What this does not show.

These are picks posted in public, chosen by the sharp who posted them, so a bet a sharp did not post is not here. Accounts that deleted their posts or left X drop out, and the accounts we follow are the ones visible on X now, so the field leans toward sharps who kept posting.

Picks posted after a game started are not graded. A small window can be decided by a few results, which is why each figure shows how many sharps and picks are behind it.

Grading starts on the day tracking began, so no window reaches back further, and the 90-day window matches it until 90 days have passed.