Sports sharps, tracked and graded. The Index follows the ones who win.
Tracks every pick from the 2,421 sports sharps we follow and automatically trades the best.
Build your own index from this data. Reading every page here needs nothing.
Net dollars since Aug 27
−$2,070
Net units since Aug 27
-12.8uWon–lost
283–268Seated
6After Kalshi fees, settled positions only. Recorded from Aug 27. Net units divide each position’s net by the unit in force when it was bought: $1 from Aug 31, $10 from Sep 13, $25 from Sep 30, $100 from Oct 12, $10 from Oct 25. Positions before the first unit were one contract each and count in dollars only.
The Index’s latest trades
All trades- Evan Bouchard: 1+ points68¢from Pikey's PicksLost−$0.26
- Leon Draisaitl: 1+ goals: Yes47¢from Pikey's PicksWon+$0.27
- Edmonton Oilers spread38¢from The Gambler's GazetteWon+$0.40
- Devin Booker: 2+ threes57¢from Rocket PickzWon+$0.18
- Colston Loveland: 50+ receiving yards: Yes53¢from Pikey's PicksWon+$0.21
- Luther Burden III: 4+ receptions74¢from Pikey's PicksWon+$0.09
- Chuba Hubbard: 3+ receptions57¢from TheLineAuditWon+$0.18
- Boston Bruins to win59¢from Picks OfficeWon+$0.17
- Kyren Williams: 14+ rushing attempts50¢from Rocket PickzWon+$0.24
- Connor McDavid: 2+ points64¢from Pikey's PicksWon+$0.13
- Leon Draisaitl: 1+ goals: Yes56¢from Pikey's PicksWon+$0.19
- Edmonton Oilers spread57¢from Pikey's PicksWon+$0.18
Picks that beat the closing price.
The Index seats sharps it is 80% sure beat the closing price, then buys their picks on Kalshi with real money, one unit each. This is everything it has done since it started, the losses too.
Net units since Aug 27
-12.8uNet dollars since Aug 27
−$2,070Won–lost
283–268Staked
$37,240Positions
551Running net units of settled positions through Nov 10, after Kalshi fees, grouped by the day each was bought. Each dot is one day: lime up on the day, salmon down; a bigger dot staked more than the usual day. Open positions count once they settle. Recorded from Aug 27. Net units divide each position’s net by the unit in force when it was bought: $1 from Aug 31, $10 from Sep 13, $25 from Sep 30, $100 from Oct 12, $10 from Oct 25. Positions before the first unit were one contract each and count in dollars only.
The last seven days: up $1.75, 17–7.
| Day | Won–lost | Staked | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 9 | 3–1 | $1.04 | +$0.59 |
| Sun Nov 8 | 5–0 | $1.31 | +$0.89 |
| Sat Nov 7 | 5–3 | $2.09 | +$0.13 |
| Fri Nov 6 | 2–0 | $0.52 | +$0.37 |
| Thu Nov 5 | 1–1 | $0.53 | +$0.08 |
| Wed Nov 4 | 1–1 | $0.52 | −$0.05 |
| Tue Nov 3 | 0–1 | $0.26 | −$0.26 |
Who has carried it: net from each sharp’s copied picks.
- Lil Rays Plays+$677.29
- Caleb+$624.14
- CAPPERS LEAKED+$567.02
- McBets+$521.20
- The Cappers Forum+$301.94
- Max Winners+$296.48
- Joey Vamvakidis−$419.77
- Hammering Hank 🔨−$464.85
- Peter V−$517.15
- Dane Fredrickson−$519.73
Every sharp ever seated, top six and bottom four by net. A sharp can lose money inside the Index and stay seated; seats come only from the board.
Seats go to sharps who beat the closing price.
A sharp is seated in a sport once the Index is 80% sure their picks there beat the closing price, over 25+ priced picks weighted by market size. When fewer than 8 qualify, the Index tops up with the next most likely, down to 60% sure.
Every bar a seat needsSharps getting close to a seatAre tracked sharps profitable?SeatedOne bar shortNot yetUnder 25 picks
A larger dot rests on more weighted picks. Select a dot for that sharp’s page. 1,087 sharps have no priced pick yet and are not drawn.
Eligibility describes past pricing, not future results. How eligibility works
6 sharps the Index is copying today.
Their board figures, and what copying them has returned, most returned first. Seats are checked again every few minutes.
Rocket Pickz
@rocketpickz · seated 18 of 30 days
- 30 days, on Kalshi
- +1.3%
- Whole history
- −2.6%
- 30 days, all straights
- −2.6%
- Graded
- 93
Copied 7–5+$1.32
Pikey's Picks
@the_pikey_6 · seated 11 of 30 days
- 30 days, on Kalshi
- +0.1%
- Whole history
- −2.7%
- 30 days, all straights
- −2.7%
- Graded
- 97
Copied 6–2+$0.55
TheLineAudit
@thelineaudit · seated 5 of 30 days
- 30 days, on Kalshi
- −2.8%
- Whole history
- +4.9%
- 30 days, all straights
- +4.9%
- Graded
- 76
Copied 1–0+$0.18
Ranked Palm
@rankedpalm · seated 6 of 30 days
- 30 days, on Kalshi
- +15.7%
- Whole history
- −2.2%
- 30 days, all straights
- −2.2%
- Graded
- 58
No copied picks yetAustin
@austinsprops · seated 18 of 30 days
- 30 days, on Kalshi
- −8.0%
- Whole history
- −1.2%
- 30 days, all straights
- −9.4%
- Graded
- 302
No copied picks yet
Picks Office
@picksoffice · seated 18 of 30 days
- 30 days, on Kalshi
- +6.1%
- Whole history
- +3.3%
- 30 days, all straights
- +3.3%
- Graded
- 91
Copied 17–10−$74.79
Written rules, applied the same way every time.
Nobody picks the sharps by hand, and the rule never looks at how a sharp has done inside the Index. It tests the board, not anyone’s taste.
Every morning the Index reads the straight-picks board and seats every sharp who clears every bar. When a seated sharp posts a pick it can match to a Kalshi contract, it buys that pick at the sharp’s own stake, under a cap on one position and on one sharp, and holds it until the market settles. Every position and every result is posted in public.
The full rule, step by stepThe rule at a glance
- Sure the picks beat the closing price
- 80% or more, per sport
- Priced picks, weighted by market size
- 25 or more
- Return, whole history
- not down more than 10% on 50+ picks
- Days with certified picks
- 7 or more
- Stake
- 1 unit a pick, $0.25
- Cheapest contract bought
- 25¢
- Most open per sharp
- 5 positions
Today’s positions
No positions yet today.
The Index buys once a seated sharp posts a pick it can match on Kalshi. 6 sharps are seated today.
Build your own index.
Build an index of your own from the data we track. You’ll be able to choose:
- Which sharps qualify, by name or by filters
- Which sports
- The results a sharp needs to qualify
- Your sizing
- Your limits per position and per day
The Index is one set of these rules. It trades our own money and is shown as an example, not a recommendation.
Pick the plan that fits: $10 to $1,000 a month.
Join the Discord for early accessEarly access opens in the Discord first.
Analyze the hottest markets and the smartest money.
We read every pick from the 2,421 sharps we track and pin it to the price at the minute it was posted. Each game shows where the market, the betting public and the sharps sit.
We rank every sharp.
Every pick graded at the odds posted, the losses too. A short history is marked as one.
| # | Sharp | Net units | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  🏆 Money On Tennis 🏆@money_on_tennis | +195.1u | +71.0% |
| 2 |  FlamesPickz@flamespickz | +123.6u | +23.9% |
| 3 |  TheCappersHub@thecappershub__ | +90.1u | +6.2% |
| 4 |  🏆Cappers Hub🏆@thecappershub | +79.9u | +3.2% |
| 5 |  Alpha Wagerz@alphawagerz | +72.9u | +140.3% |
| 6 |  KBJR@kingbrownjr999 | +56.3u | +100.5% |
| 7 |  HPbets@hpbets1 · short history | +52.0u | +5200.0% |
| 8 |  WORTHY WAGERS@mjmoneylines | +49.9u | +22.7% |
Straight picks that had a Kalshi contract, graded at the odds posted. The full board ranks every pick.
A deep analysis of every sharp.
Every graded pick on one chart, where they win, how they bet, and what their picks returned on Kalshi against what they returned at the odds they posted.
Ranked PalmIn the Index
@rankedpalm · seated 6 of 30 days
30 days, Kalshi
+15.7%Whole history
−2.2%30 days, all straights
−2.2%Won–lost, 30 days
16–11Graded
58The profile adds the chart of every graded pick, the sports they win in, and the return at the odds they posted beside the return on Kalshi.
Frequently asked.
Short answers here. The full rule, every cap and each change with its date are on the method page.
A stock-market index holds a basket chosen by fixed rules, so no single company decides how it does. The Index applies that idea to sports picks: instead of following one sharp, it holds every sharp who clears fixed bars, sized to each sharp’s own stake.
The intention is to make following picks less random than following whoever posted last. Whether a basket does that is what the Index is testing, not something anyone knows yet. Sports event contracts are risky, a basket of them still is, and it can lose money.
Yes. Realize trades the Index with its own money, on its own Kalshi account, at $0.25 a unit. It is a live test: every result on this site comes from that account, and every position is posted on Kalshi as @realize.tax with recaps on X.
We wrote up what that test has shown so far, including what can go wrong.
Every morning the Index reads the straight-picks board and seats every sharp in a sport once the Index is 80% sure their picks there beat the closing price, over 25+ priced picks weighted by market size, and not down more than 10% across their whole history.
Nobody chooses by hand, and the rule never looks at how a sharp has done inside the Index. Seats are read again each morning, so a sharp who drops below any bar is not copied that day.
It posts the loss on Kalshi as @realize.tax like any other result, with a recap on X, and carries on under the rule in force that day. A loss is never taken out of the results. When the seat rule or the unit changes, the change is dated under “Will the rules change?”, and the positions bought before it stay in the record.
In the seven days through Nov 9, 2026, the Index went 17–7, +$1.75. That is on the home page too.
A tool for building an index of your own from the data we track. You choose the rules: which sharps or filters, which sports, the results that qualify, your sizing and your limits. The Index is ours, one set of those rules, traded with our own money and shown as an example, not a recommendation.
It isn’t open yet. Early access opens in the Discord first.
You pick a monthly plan from $10 to $1,000, whatever fits you. It pays for the software, not for any result.
It will run on your own Kalshi account, through an API key you create on Kalshi. Realize never holds or moves your money.
Every page here, the Index’s results included, is open to read without one.
The Index trades event contracts on Kalshi, not sportsbook bets, and the two can be reported differently. Of the people we’ve seen file Kalshi trades, the most common ways are as capital gains, under Section 1256 with its 60/40 split between long- and short-term rates, or as gambling income. There is no IRS guidance yet on which applies to event contracts.
realize.tax, from the same team, rebuilds a year trade by trade and prices it each of those ways.
Get early access to build your own index.
Build your own index from every sharp we track: pick who qualifies, which sports, and your own limits. Early access opens in the Discord.